That old, familiar pattern: Russian invasion of Ukraine

There was common pattern for all the communist revolutions around the world.

There was common pattern for all the communist revolutions around the world.

Written by Rokiškis Rabinovičius, kindly translated from Lithuanian by Martynas Klimas

It all started from people rising up against Viktor Yanukovitch rather than any actions undertaken by Russia. Maybe this inverse was what made people miss the old Russian invasion pattern appear in Ukraine. Or was it because we were used to seeing the pattern develop from the other side?

The pattern is old, having undergone first trials about a century ago. As time went by, it was refined, well drilled into everyone’s mind, until it was finally made into a set of standard invasion plans. A whole systemic methodology of invading other countries that, when the time came, only required minor adaptations.

Talks that Vladimir Putin is waging info war like no one has done before are, at best, naïve. He is not creating anything new or revolutionary; Putin is barely taking the well drilled KGB invasion plan and adapting it to current needs. Those methods are a dead ringer to the best hits of USSR invasions.

The entire thing is usually done under the cover of standard bullshit. It all goes through several structural channels: leftist commie cells from around the world, official soviet press and through various press offices in Moscow that publish left and right, trying to pass off their bullshit as something that the locals wrote themselves. In the good old days, newspapers printed in Moscow were presented as supposedly printed somewhere else. Today, the same things goes on the Internet.

We have to pay attention to the real thing: the invasion pattern. A series of events that happen concurrently with a Bolshevik invasion. Then we see, time and time again, a same pattern emerge with only the slightest of adaptations.

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24th of May, Lithuanian media round-up

On 24th of May, Mustafa Dzhemilev, Leader of Crimean Tatars, in an interview to delfi.lt said that in an annexed peninsula Tatars are under huge pressure due to their pro-ukrainian attitude and even face various threats if they refuse to accept the citizenship of Russia.‘ (delfi.lt)

Audrius Butkevičius, signatory the of the Act of the Re-Establishment of the State of Lithuania, in an interview to the newspaper ‘Republic‘ said that ‘myth about “impossible elections” is a part of Russian propaganda, because they need to negate the legitimacy of elections, but according to operational data there’s only about 1200 terrorists in more than 42 millions citizens having Ukraine. It is a very small amount and even the heads of terrorists are complaining about lack of people, so what can they do.’ (respublika.lt)

On 19th of May Gediminas Kirkilas, Deputy Speaker of the Lithuanian Parliament, in National Radio and Television of Lithuania programme ‘The weak’ said that „Not only Lithuania’s but NATO’s entire defense model must be reviewed. And clearly first and foremost in countries like Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia which has a border with Russia. It’s also clear that we face a completely new warfare for which NATO is not prepared because there has been a period of peaceful coexistence with Russia. This is a strange kind of warfare where first of all information, known as the “soft power” is used.‘ (National Radio and Television of Lithuania, 15min.lt, balsas.lt). Read more in Lithuania Tribune: http://www.lithuaniatribune.com/68363/kirkilas-be-prepared-for-an-unconventional-warfare-201468363/.

Linas Kojala, analyst of Eastern Europe Studies Center, in an interview to the newspaper ‘Counselor of the farmer’ said that ‘impending decentralization of Ukraine due to aggression of Moscow fits Russia and European Union and even United States. All silently agrees that Ukraine will never be same as before 16th of March referendum of Crimea.’ (Counselor of the farmer, delfi.lt)

May 4-5, Lithuanian media round-up

On 5th of May Russia delivered a note to Lithuania announcing that agreement signed in 2001, to inform Lithuania about military units in Kaliningrad, is unilaterally stopped. (Lithuanian Ministry of National Defence Press Office, ELTA, delfi.lt, lrytas.lt, 15min.lt, vz.lt)

UPDATE:  On 6th of May The Lithuanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that ‘regrets Russia’s unilateral decision, which reduces transparency and confidence-building measures between the neighbouring countries, as well as breaks away from tradition of constructive cooperation of military inspectors.’

Jānis Bērziņš, Latvian defence analyst, recently published a report ‘Russia’s new generation warfare in Ukraine: implications for Latvian defence policy’ outlining Russia’s approach to ‘new-generation warfare’, based on analysis of material in the Russian military press (Lithuania Tribune). You can read this report here: is.gd/berzins.

Ambassador Raimonda Murmokaitė, Lithuanian Permanent Representative to the United Nations, on 2nd of May at the urgent United Nations Security Council meeting on the recent developments in Eastern Ukraine stressed that Lithuania condemns any attempts to destroy Ukraine’s independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity. (Lithuanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs information)

April 26, 2014 Lithuanian media round-up

Lithuanian Parliamentarian Vytautas Landsbergis recently spoke at MyEP interactive conference about situation in Ukraine and Lithuania and Russia international relations. Read more in Lithuanian Tribune: http://www.lithuaniatribune.com/67253/landsbergis-sad-to-realize-that-yesterdays-friend-is-todays-enemy-201467253/.

Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaitė congratulated Group of 7 (G7) decision to intensify sanctions against Russia due to violations of Geneva agreement. (delfi.lt)

Latvia’s Minister of Defence Raimonds Vejonis on April 25 spoke with journalists from Reuters about situation in Baltic States in the context of Ukraine crisis. Raimonds Vejonis said that ‘there‘s danger that Russia might try to destabilize the situation in Baltic States‘ (15 min.lt). Read more in Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/25/us-latvia-defence-idUSBREA3O1Q420140425

The Leader of the Crimean Tatars Mustafa Dzhemilev was nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize. (15 min.lt)